We can now begin to see a pattern as the world of the Mediterranean and the Middle East
changes
from a large number of independent worlds, each associated with a valley-delta
configuration of Adam and Evelike tribes, to cradles of civilization, in the
Persian Gulf, in the Levant, in the Valley of the Nile, in the Aegean, the
Adriatic and Tyrehenian Seas.:to Regional civilizations in the Eastern and
Western Mediterranen, to a 'World Ocean' called by the Romans 'Mare
Nostrum".
If the process was evolutionary, then future historians called Social Darwinists will have identified a process as a theory for prediction and postdiction of the future and the past. Such a process was identified by Admiral Alfred Thayer Mahan in his book The Influence of Sea Power on History. Modern Political Scientists, recognizing the xenophobic colonial chauvinism that buttressed this theory have rejected it with scorn. This rejection came and is still extant, despite the fact that Mahan accurately predicted the demographic , economic and strategic structure of the superpowers of the late 20th century.
Professor
John Craven (of MIT) and Professor Geoffrey Kemp (of the Fletcher School)
attempted a rescue of this theory from the trash bin of history through a
revision which they described as Neo-Mahanism. This too, has been ignored or
rejected by academia and this rejection has been buttressed by the proclamation
of Ronald Reagan that he too was a Social Darwinist of the Geoffrey Kemp School
of Social Darwinism. Readers of this volume can take pride in the realization
that, to date, the following exposition (with footnotes) is the only version of
record and was used as the basis for measuring the evolution of the Sea Society
described herein.
THE NEO-MAHANIAN THEORY
Societies
which depend on the use of land water configurations to optimize on the natural
opportunities for satisfying the human emoluments of life will, for any given
state of technology, have an advantage if they have:
a) a
favorable topological relation ship between the land and the sea. Superiority
is conferred on island configurations, then on peninsulas, then to societies
with single coasts. The land sea configuration begins to work to the
disadvantage of the society when there are multiple coast lines, and then to
societies which have only limited access to the sea and then to societies that
are completely landlocked.(1)
b)
favorable natural conditions for ports and harbors(2)
c) a
substantial percentage of the society having an appropriate knowledge of the
technology of the sea.
d) a
society whose culture and social organization allows or encourages the use of
the sea.
These
first four principles are simply a restatement of the thesis of Alfred Thayer
Mahan in more modern terms. The appellation Neo-Mahanism applies when two other
principles are added, viz;
e)
that the first four principles are quantified in terms of the scales of human
performance and the scales of technology and
f)
that the sea acts as an operant conditioner, either rewarding one set of behaviors
with respect to the sea or inflicting severe punishment for other behaviors in
a manner which is rarely ambivalent and with a high degree of certainty with
respect to reward and punishment.
THE EVOLUTIONARY CYCLE
When
these principles are coupled with the natural predilection of humans to be land
oriented and to optimize on survival of the tribe or nation, then an
evolutionary cycle can be identified as follows:
a) For
any given state of technology and after a period of conflict societies will
stabilize around the optimum configuration of land and sea. When stability is
achieved the initial surplus of the society will be devoted to palaces and
pyramids and temples and other symbolic structures of tribal or national
identity.
b)The
development of these monuments will result in the development of a class of
artisans and technicians who, after the period of pyramid building, will devote
their attention to land based logistical systems such as roads bridges,
aqueducts, granaries, warehouses, armories, etc. These will facilitate the
societies ability to operate in a purely land based mode but will, at the same
time, breach the natural defenses previously provided by the land sea
configuration. There will also be logistic bases and networks which could be
utilized by invaders of the society.
c)The
establishment of these land based logistical systems will open up the way for
invaders to penetrate the society. There results a series of conflicts of
increasing intensity which will eventually destroy the land based logistical
systems.
d)The
conflict will then be resolved in favor of the tribes or nations which control
the sea. If there has been no change in the technology during this period of
conflict the new society will stabilize about the previous configuration.
e)If,
on the other hand, there has been a change in the technology of the sea or
other relevant technologies, the society will stabilize about some new larger
configuration.
f) The cycle then repeats.